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Author's Comments
This is a science book I've been working on since the latter part of 2006.
Click the "download" link in the upper left for the PDF. I hope you enjoy it! For those interested, here are a few of the main science sources: The Luck Factor [link] - Richard Wiseman Professor of the Public Understanding of Psychology, University of Hertfordshire UK Predictably Irrational [link] - Dan Ariely, MIT professor of behavioral economics Learned Optimism [link] - Martin Seligman, Robert A. Fox Leadership Professor of Psychology at the University of Pennsylvania Lastly, here's the current draft of the back cover blurb: The hubbub over humbug Theres been some quarrel recently about growing popularity of New Age beliefs, Synchronicity and just plain positive thinking. As with any case of competing beliefs many are firmly planted the realist camp of we dont buy that nonsense or the spiritualist camp of youre just close-minded. Perhaps the skeptic and the mystic can benefit from a combined viewpoint as an alternative to us versus them thinking. The goal of skeptics and mystics alike is happy, healthy living, which is achieved through good habits. Our beliefs influence our habits. Thus a belief that fire burns is more help than a belief that fire tastes good. On the other hand a belief that fire tastes bad also prevents people from burning their mouths. While its important that we acknowledge an inconvenient truth, perhaps there can also be a useful illusion. Nice Guys Finish First In 1981 Robert Axelrod shocked the scientific community by suggesting in his paper the Evolution of Cooperation that animals (including humans) might have evolved to be helpful and nice. This is shocking because its popular in recent decades to believe that people are basically selfish and that nice guys finish last; a good way to discourage cooperation. Reality is often not what we think, from the flat earth to quantum physics. How many of us are unaware that peace breaking out along the front posed a significant challenge for generals during the first two years of WWI? It seems by denying our helpful nature we may be shooting ourselves in the foot. An Experimental Solution The tension between skeptics and mystics can be summed up in the philosophies of consciousness and determinism. The philosophy of consciousness states that your will creates physical reality. The philosophy of determinism states that consciousness is an illusion created by the chemicals in your brain. These views cant both be entirely accurate. While youre likely to have a strong opinion, it may not be necessary for us to know which is true. There is an element of truth in every myth. With a focus on traditional non-quantum research in medicine, economics, evolution, behavior and psychology and a liberal dose of humor, the Optimists Wager makes a strong case in plain language that several non-determinist beliefs may be our best bet for health and prosperity even if determinism is true. Comments
Personally, I don't believe in chance or fate, at least not in the traditional sense. I believe in choice. What is called "randomness" to me doesn't seem random. It appears to me that we just label it as so because the variables that cause its effects are too complex for us to follow. Every "random" system (for instance snow on a TV screen) actually operates within very certain and predictable bounds.
Choice is the most random, and yet the most predictable thing I know. Choice is what you get when fate and change merge into one concept and process. Then suddenly neither concept alone is completely accurate. My thoughts. BTW... Hi, I'm back! (unofficially, check my journal for info) -- Have you ever had a moment when everything was clear and then were cursed to find a flaw and find yourself in fear? Is a troubled future of flaws in truth a bet? Or is it simply by our nature that truths are true and we forget? Hi Sylver, welcome back.
My boss at my new job made a similar sort of comment when I was up here for my job interview. He was talking about rolling a die and saying that it lands on a particular side as a result of gravity and other forces that affect it, so it's not really random, it just appears random to us as we're observing it... I agree, however I also think when we talk about things being "random", it's the observation or perception of randomness that we're really after. The die for example may not ultimately be trully random, but it's "random enough" or at least "random in context" to the extent that when you're playing a board game, the dice will create the expected bell curves over time while also preventing any of the players from predicting the outcome of an individual toss. And actually that's much what the book is about -- making long-term choices in our lives on the basis of those statistical observations about how people behave and which beliefs or behaviors result in the most long-term success and happiness in life. -- Sign up FREE to earn cash with cartoons on your website, blog or MySpace page. www.WooHooLigAN.com Well, I'll throw in a wager for the optimist.
I should know. I'm an incurably optimistic person, and I consider my life in standard terms to be the biggest streak of good "luck" possible. Is my life really that great, or does it all just seem that way because of my outlook? The way I see it, both are true. There's not much of a difference. That concept is the sort of vibe I get from this book of yours, although admittedly I still have yet to crack the cover and read this first chapter you posted. Don't worry, I'll get around to it. -- Have you ever had a moment when everything was clear and then were cursed to find a flaw and find yourself in fear? Is a troubled future of flaws in truth a bet? Or is it simply by our nature that truths are true and we forget? Yeah, one of the many things mentioned in the book is that even if your life isn't as rosy as you make it out, you're still better off having the "rose colored glasses" anyway, if for no other reason than that you're happy. But beyond that there are several other bits of fairly rigorous scientific analysis that show that people who are happy are healthier and that people who have optimistic expectations about things are much more likely to succeed at achieving their goals. Meaning that it really isn't just that you think your life is better than it is -- your life actually is better for having that optimistic attitude.
-- Sign up FREE to earn cash with cartoons on your website, blog or MySpace page. www.WooHooLigAN.com I adore the line, "Thus a belief that fire burns is more help than a belief that fire tastes good."
Truly beautiful. !yoJ -- "However, in my opinion, it's still quite expensive for a dead fish." -> ~Undistilled ~Gemstones-Club=wireworkersanonymous#ArtisanCraft Thanks Razzy.
-- Sign up FREE to earn cash with cartoons on your website, blog or MySpace page. www.WooHooLigAN.com That can be difficult, but worthwhile, I think. I should probably look into a few of your sources, they sound interesting. It really makes me smile, philosophical arguments based in as much science as possible.
!yoJ -- "However, in my opinion, it's still quite expensive for a dead fish." -> ~Undistilled ~Gemstones-Club=wireworkersanonymous#ArtisanCraft Thank you.
-- Sign up FREE to earn cash with cartoons on your website, blog or MySpace page. www.WooHooLigAN.com Here is a "New Age" concept that you might enjoy. Pardon the length, but I suppose you have given me an entire chapter to read, so it's not unfair (^_^ poke fun).
One idea that is present in both Spiritual and Scientific philosophies, although many of them disagree on other things, is that everything is connected. Both rely on this idea to allow the possibility of further growth and understanding. So we have Unity. From a certain perspective, since on some level the universe must be a whole containing all things, this level of Unity is God. At the same time as there is unity, there is individuality, however. We do not see things as all one object right now. Not only that, but we tend to disagree on what is true and not. When there is such conflict and polarity, how can we unify the picture? Perhaps one way to unify, is recognize that both sides are right, and both sides are wrong. The idea is that we each, on an individual level, create the universe. My universe is different from your universe, and indeed, within my universe you can only be who I say you are. In your universe, if you believe I am Buddha - or that I'm some idiot - I am, and you won't disagree, because it's obviously true. The same for my beliefs. So, the question becomes; is my universe the only one, or are there infinitely many others, or is there only one, but its creator is someone higher than myself? Once again, since I believe in unity, all must be true and false, and that's okay (and not, of course). So I create you, whilst you create me, whilst we both create Eternity. I like to call this Unity Theory. It's a fun ride. So when we disagree, I'll try to remember that you are right, and "someday" once I have achieved Unity I will know that this is true. -- Have you ever had a moment when everything was clear and then were cursed to find a flaw and find yourself in fear? Is a troubled future of flaws in truth a bet? Or is it simply by our nature that truths are true and we forget? |
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